Why Futures Thinking
(theories, methods, tools and processes) has numerous uses.
First, it gives
us tools to be better understand the world. We can use methods like the
futures triangle to map past, present and future. Through emerging
issues analysis, we can more effectively anticipate future crisis.
Through causal layered analysis, we can understand the root metaphors,
myths and stories of organizations and nations. Through scenarios we can
analyse the alternatives ahead of us. And through visioning and
backcasting, we can imagine different worlds and ascertain the path
necessary to get there.
aids in creating strategy. Armed with a map, with an understanding of
future issues and deeper understanding of others, with alternatives, we
can more effectively decide what we want to do, where we want to go.
Third, futures is
crucial for capacity building. This is far more than education, but
assisting individuals and organizations, not just forecast, or prepare,
or even understand the future, but have the adaptability to survive and
thrive in any alternative future.
Fourth futures is
about emergence. Futures methods and thinking take us to the edge; to
the edge of the unknown. Through futures thinking innovation is
possible, indeed, far more likely. New futures can be created.
thinking is about transformation. Not just mapping or understanding,
even with depth, but with transforming the world. Another world is
possible. Futures thinking, methods, tools, and processes are all
stunning social innovations that make the path to this other world far